However, oil and gas – and what to look for

There was a time not long on this planet that obtaining information on gold, which is fundamental, technical or quantitative has been an arduous task. From the perspective of the technical awards, if you see an image that I had two choices. You could buy The Wall Street Journal, the price, then draw (yes drawing) to its list price. Or you could mail for an annual subscription to one of the few companies providing this service. Every Thursday or Friday will receive their cards, then spend the weekend on Thursday and Friday draw bars on your map and re- calculate your indicators for next week. His paintings were updated only last Wednesday, as it should be printed and distributed to subscribers. Thus, for each stock or commodities that you still had to take a pencil or pen and update all pages with bar prices From these last days.

Now if you want basic information was not the Wall Street Journal, the Journal of Commerce, the annual reports of the operation of mining companies, and local library. I mean it not for a nostalgic, but to make a point about the difficulty and the time to whip basic information on the Internet now at a time.

We are clearly in the information age and the ease of "information at hand" has given birth to a whole new bull market …. Technical analysis and collection of information.

Whatever your opinion may have precious metals for future pricing, the information is there to justify position. "For the vast amount of information. This can be very dangerous for the individual investor. No matter how much we like to think that we are not biased and opinionated, There is no way around it. It is inherent in our nature. The exceptions are rare. What usually happens is that we tend to gravitate toward information that corresponds to our market view of future price direction. And this type of information is particularly effective when we hold a stronger position that we should value, commodity or sector. And there are many voices (comment) is mixed with an incredible amount of data to support. The investor is left with the problem of classifying themselves same or procure the services of an expert in the market to help with the details by hand. And yet, I saw a good analyst to move up down and actually get cancellations subscribers. Unfortunately, this makes it very difficult for the analyst to maintain his impartiality if he or she becomes a bear subscriptions, and then goes to suffer. Who do you know that is a bull of gold or other commodities, in addition to accumulating data and is compatible with a low counselor who is a bear, pure and simple?

The proliferation of analysts and Web sites on the Internet are numerous.

To approve the consultant must have done something good / very attractive to a certain point, and should have a good reputation. The most important is how the director made when a change of trend is growing. An analyst who had continuous service in years Bull 90 for people who have acquired a reputation as being a bit long. But what were their findings in the last decade?

If you are Perma no gold bull advisers Subscription and Web sites available to the collapse of the mining sector, where week after week, a new "medium" area is selected, a new channel is established, and another cycle is due to background key. An aide to remain optimistic in the crash of 2008 would change according indicators their perspectives. Near the end, was stupid as moving averages will be developed as it took the publication of the moving average, since no was broken by the price of gold during the bull market. I believe the bottom near the counselor's been using a mobile means 21 or 29 months in his letters to long term. Want view and show all the depressions and the course of operation later showed little break right on the line too! The counselor would be through of all the reasons for the low would be done, and if one has experienced he / she may lose the train.

The reality is that most of its subscribers are action and not metallic gold. While gold was only down 30 percent gold stocks collapsed. At its lowest level in 2008, many investors had pistol whipped the losses to the tune of 50% -70%. Those who have used the room for the purchase of major producers and then use the bank to buy junior miners lost everything and disappear even before the bottom came through margin calls.

On the other side of the ship are perma bears. There are some very famous also been allowed to be the way Perma many years. There was a bear that in all fairness, has called a rally in the bottom of the gold. But in his opinion, was just a rally in a bear market bear market in progress. He called a concentration of 420 and was right on the money all the way up. Now we're talking about a guy who had been bearish from the peak reached in 1980 and the results speak for themselves. It was just 20 years ago on the long-term price of gold. And when we got to 420 gold, gave him his first sell signal. Then a second sell signal at 460. At that time, of course, he had created quite the case for gold was about to peak. How much gold is not in recession, and as the U.S. dollar was still in a bull market and it comes through a correction. Well when we got to 480, data if it reads like a folder. He gave us the cycles of the millennium, the history data of the last Great Depression, in fact make a case that the Homestake Mining has progressed after the award of all background.

Now the above examples are not special because each call could not have been worse about market direction. The extraordinary thing is that we still have a great success. Surely there must have been many who have left (what do you do when your party) but the process to transfer the assets of any customer are not overnight. What happens is that once the "clients" have committed themselves on the wrong side of the market custody, the adviser itself and its subscribers through the end of its capital account, providing all new high or low of each new "that is all. "This is the context and the bull or bear market is about to resume.

And that brings us to today. We have much information at your fingertips. Memory have read that conducted a study to determine whether the performance of today's investors has improved with the information age. He did not.

Fortunately, advisory services are not afraid to follow trends and are ready to be optimistic time and also bearish when price dictates. Meetings of twenty years are the exception the rule. And even during bull markets, there are times to be like most Bull markets have suffered at some time or other setbacks are as deep as 38% or 50% or 61%. The Commodities chart below speaks for itself. Must be flexible in the world of commodities, because at first, drop.

Goldman Bags Product Index

Recently, after a long consolidation of five months in commodity markets have revived as the price has broken Out on the rise. Through the miracle of Asia, there were new requirements for food and energy supply as an overall increase in wealth always brings new challenges.

With the onslaught of the currency and the mass printing of the United States and loss of confidence in the various governments, the investment world is moving towards gold and silver as a means of preserving their purchasing power. Taken in context, the basics of food, energy and hard currency assets (unless another crisis) are pro-growth. The graph shows how the crude oil that reflects the list of commodities.

Crude oil prices

1. Who is our number one goal for our subscribers.

The recent escape of energy and raw materials is that we were seeing and we believe that the possibility of recovery trend has merit. Let's look to another market.

Commodity Prices Gold

Since the 2008 crisis there is only a vast market that has exploded to new highs and that is gold. avoid, in a barbaric metal over 20 years, gold has met 4X silence during this decade. More importantly, broke a new record, following a trend of consolidation of 19 months. Long price long-term compensation can thus produce large movements prices and the outlook for gold, considered in comparison with what happens in the United States, suggests that the potential for an inflationary environment in the way is that it is difficult to refuse.

All the outlook for demand and supply seem optimistic on gold and investment demand should rise from here could (and it is already) the overwhelming demand. With the advent of the ETF can be bought commodities such as crude oil and gold was a great success since the supply of vehicles for investors to participate in these products. But as we have seen, sometimes you have to be in the market. If you think for a moment, knowing when to stop is certainly important for success, but know when to perform is the key to profits in such markets.

In recent years, it was easy. Log in and stay in We believe in the coming years, there will be a lot harder volatility is the order of the day. The crude 147-35 is a clear demonstration that "exploitation" long term are not necessarily the best way forward. While the foundations are now known, we can expect something. And this is basically going to change. Brut is an excellent example. At the turn of the century, guess what was a key source of energy? WHALE fat. It seems incredible today, but such is the case. Use Vaseline oil only. Remember that his orders? Oil is now the main power source for the world. Imagine 100 years of whaling that the substance (Vaseline) you rub on the butt of a baby to keep it dry while cloth diapers replace the fat and turn into "components" of the worlds energy principal and that the world consumed 400 million gallons of oil per day by late next century? Would you have laughed at the docks.

That "And the gold? Can you imagine telling someone 100 years ago that the real money (gold), a substance used since the dawn of civilization would be replaced by … … PAPER. Not only would be replaced by paper, but less than 2% of the world population even own gold. Then you throw in this pump. Although the document has replaced the gold and less 2% of the population own gold, the price of gold would increase from $ 20 an ounce in 1000 … … … .. an increase of fifty times. Sure, you look like you're nut. You can make your story. They say that the U.S. government all the gold was confiscated from its citizens, to pay 20 million dollars for gold, and then once any, that would modernize it (night) $ 35. So, is illegal in the next 40 years they have not even gold. Can you imagine the look on their faces?

Since the dawn of civilization has been gold for real money. However, in most of our lives that is not the case. real money (in total) does not lose its purchasing power. However, the paper money. You could even argue that the price of things in the long run is bad. What you see is actually the paper dollar down. This is what I mean.

In 1908, Henry Ford sold his Model T cars for 850 million U.S. dollars or 42.5 ounces of gold. The base price of all-wheel drive 2010 Ford Taurus SHO with some (but not all options) is about $ 42,500 dollars or … … … … … … … … … 42.5 ounces of gold!

Questions?

Now that we know what is real money, do not you think that is the day he began to buy? If answer is a resounding Yes, and you have never done, do yourself a favor. The access to the services of someone who is familiar with the trends of what can be confident to buy. If you do not, 100 years from now someone will say something and to another person. "Did you know that 100 years ago, given the choice, people keep their wealth in paper instead of gold even though they knew they were going to lose 90% of its purchasing power?

Think how much more sophisticated the new 2010 Ford Taurus SHO is in relative terms the Model T. However, the price in terms gold has not increased one iota during that time. If you do not have gold, do yourself a favor. After. If you do not have a counselor who is monitoring the market for you get one. one that follows the evolution of prices.

Take a look at another table.

1. And cities use natural gas for its fleet of buses technology and cleaner burning increases every few years.

Natural Gas Commodity Price

In summary, the potential for the world away from work is getting more advanced and increasing demand for energy is growing. The advent of investment vehicles Foundation and others has made participation in these markets for the average investor's easier than ever. Gold is in a major bull market, the raw power of the world, and natural gas is a market that probably has been a long-term bottom and has the potential to do what is serious fat.

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About the Author

John Winston

John Winston is the technical commodity trader analyst. He provides detailed technical analysis for popular commodities like gold, silver, copper, oil, and natural gas. By focusing strictly on these commodity price movements trading become strictly technical and simple to trade. His free trading reports are available at his website: www.TechnicalCommodityTrader.com

Contact John at: Info [@] TechnicalCommodityTrader.com

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